Atrial fibrillation and mortality in outpatients with heart failure in Tanzania: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: In recent years, the prevalence and mortality of heart failure (HF) and other associated cardiovascular diseases have doubled in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Studies in high-income countries indicate that HF with concurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) is linked to increased mortality. Our objective was to determine the incidence and clinical outcomes of AF among patients with HF in SSA. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study using data collected between October 2018 and May 2020. SETTING: Outpatient clinic at a tertiary hospital in Mwanza, Tanzania. PARTICIPANTS: 303 adult participants (aged ≥18 years) with HF as defined by the European Society of Cardiology guidelines (2016) and 100 adults with HF as defined by clinical criteria alone were enrolled into the study. Patients with comorbid medical condition that had prognosis of <3 months (ie, advance solid tumours, advance haematological malignancies) were excluded. METHODS: Participants were screened for AF, and their medical history, physical examinations and sociodemographic information were obtained. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine factors associated with AF incidence. Cox regression models were used to analyse 3-month mortality and its associated risk factors. RESULTS: We enrolled 403 participants with HF (mean age 60±19 years, 234 (58%) female). The AF prevalence was 17%. In multivariable models, factors associated with AF were low income, alcohol consumption and longer duration of HF. At the end of the 3-month follow-up, 120 out of 403 (30%) participants died, including 44% (31/70) of those with AF. Higher heart rate on ECG, more severe New York Heart Association HF class, rural residence and anaemia were significantly correlated with mortality. CONCLUSION: AF is common, underdiagnosed and is associated with significant mortality among outpatients with HF in Tanzania (HR 1.749, 95% CI 1.162 to 2.633, p=0.007). Our findings additionally identify tachycardia (>110 bpm, HR 1.879, 95% CI 1.508 to 2.340, p<0.001) as an easily measurable, high-impact physical examination finding for adverse outcomes in patients with HF.

Depression screening in HIV-positive Tanzanian adults: comparing the PHQ-2, PHQ-9 and WHO-5 questionnaires.

BACKGROUND: HIV-positive individuals are at significantly increased risk of depression. In low- and middle-income countries, depression is frequently under-detected, hampered by a lack of data regarding available screening tools. The 5-item World Health Organization Well-Being Index (WHO-5) is widely used to screen for depression, yet its validity in African adults with HIV has yet to be examined. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we enrolled HIV-positive adults presenting to an outpatient HIV clinic in Mwanza, Tanzania. Patients were administered the Patient Health Questionnaires (PHQ)-2/9 and WHO-5 questionnaires. The rate of positive screens was calculated. Fisher's exact test and Pearson's correlation coefficients between PHQ-2/9 and WHO-5 scores were calculated. RESULTS: We enrolled 72 HIV-positive adults: rates of positive depression screen were 62.5%, 77.8%, and 47.2% according to PHQ-2, PHQ-9, and WHO-5, respectively. PHQ and WHO results for depression were significantly associated (Fisher's exact test: PHQ-2 v. WHO-5, p = 0.028; PHQ-9 v. WHO-5, p = 0.002). The level of correlation between PHQ and WHO results for depression was moderate (Pearson's correlation coefficient: PHQ-2 v. WHO-5 -0.3289; PHQ-9 v. WHO-5 -0.4463).Per Mantel-Haenszel analysis, screening results were significantly more concordant among patients in the following strata: men, age >40, Sukuma ethnicity, Christian, unmarried, self-employed, at least primary school education completed, and higher than the median income level. CONCLUSIONS: WHO-5 scores correlated well with those of the PHQ-9, suggesting that the WHO-5 represents a valid screening tool. The concordance of PHQ-9 and WHO-5 results was poorer in marginalized socioeconomic groups. Positive depression screens were exceedingly common among HIV-positive Tanzanian adults according to all three questionnaires.

Pulmonary TB bacteriologically confirmed by induced sputum among children at Bugando Medical Centre, Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis (TB) remains difficult in resource-: poor settings. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate induced sputum collection and examination using microscopy, culture and Xpert(®) MTB/RIF assay for the diagnosis of pulmonary TB (PTB) in a Tanzanian hospital vs. PTB diagnosis using clinical scoring tools alone. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study from October 2013 to April 2014 at our hospital in northwestern Tanzania. Children presumed to have TB were assessed using four TB score charts and sputum examination. Sputum samples were analyzed using fluorescence microscopy, solid culture and Xpert. The number of cases microbiologically confirmed was compared to the number of TB cases suspected based on TB score charts. RESULTS: A total of 192 patients were enrolled. Sputum specimens were successfully obtained in 187 (97.4%) patients without any major complications. Ten (5.2%) children were confirmed to have PTB by sputum examination. More than half (50-90%) of the confirmed cases were not detected by score charts alone. CONCLUSION: Sputum induction is both safe and feasible in a severely resource-limited hospital, and can lead to microbiological PTB diagnosis that would not be detected by clinical criteria alone.

'Cough-triggered' tuberculosis screening among adults with diabetes in Tanzania.

AIMS: Diabetes increases the risk of tuberculosis and the prevalence of diabetes is rising in tuberculosis-endemic regions such as sub-Saharan Africa. Resource-appropriate strategies for tuberculosis case finding among African adults with diabetes are needed. The aims of this study were to determine prevalence of tuberculosis and evaluate one screening strategy among adult Tanzanians with diabetes. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we evaluated a 'cough-triggered' strategy for tuberculosis case finding among adults with diabetes at our zonal hospital in Tanzania. All adults with diabetes and cough underwent further tuberculosis symptom assessment, and those with productive cough had sputum collected for microscopy and Mycobacterium tuberculosis culture. RESULTS: Between September 2011 and March 2012, 700 adults with diabetes attended our hospital. A total of 693 were enrolled, 121/693 (17.5%) had cough and 32/693 (4.6%) had at least two of the classic symptoms of tuberculosis. Of note, 87/121 (71.9%) of patients with cough could not produce sputum spontaneously. Nine patients were diagnosed with tuberculosis for a prevalence of 1299/100 000 (1.3%), sevenfold greater than the national average. CONCLUSIONS: Tuberculosis is common among Tanzanian adults with diabetes, but tuberculosis case finding is challenging because of the high prevalence of non-productive cough. This low-cost, 'cough-triggered' tuberculosis case-finding strategy may serve as a reasonable first step for improving tuberculosis screening among adults with diabetes in sub-Saharan Africa.

Predictors of tuberculosis in first 6 months after initiation of antiretroviral therapy: a case-control study.

SETTING: In Africa, 10% of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected adults starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) die within the first year, and tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictors of ART-associated TB at an adult HIV clinic in Tanzania. DESIGN: In this nested case-control study, adults starting ART were screened for TB according to the World Health Organization protocol. Those not diagnosed with TB were observed for 6 months. Patients diagnosed with TB were defined as cases, and controls were selected from among the patients who did not develop TB using incidence density matching. RESULTS: Among the 2514 HIV-positive adults in our cohort, 72 (3%) were diagnosed with TB during the first 6 months of ART. By multivariate analysis, baseline characteristics predictive of TB were cough, fever and night sweats; 76% (55/72) of the cases had at least one of these symptoms at the time of starting ART. CONCLUSION: Overall, 75% of the patients who developed TB during the first 6 months of ART had TB symptoms at the time of starting ART. Improved TB diagnostics and/or better strategies for empirical anti-tuberculosis treatment are needed for patients with symptoms of TB at ART initiation.